Continuous-depth Deep Gaussian Processes

arXiv:2610.30890v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are appealing Bayesian regression models, but their standard discrete-depth parameterization often becomes harder to optimize as depth grows. We argue that depth is better treated as a latent continuous evolution than as a long discrete stack. We therefore propose a continuous-depth formulation in which the latent representation follows a stochastic differential equation with a depth-indexed drift family equipped with a GP-based prior. This reframes the core design choice as the prior placed on that family, rather than adopting a purely neural continuous-depth parameterization as in neural ODE or neural SDE models. We study two instantiations of this idea: CDGP, a direct GP prior over the state--depth drift, and FlowDGP, a flow-evolved prior that captures richer depth dependence at lower training cost. To motivate the redesign, we analyze how the single-sample DGP objective can become increasingly sensitive under repeated layer composition, while residual DGP is a useful first repair that still remains a finite discrete construction. We also give pathwise sensitivity analysis for the continuous-depth formulation. Experiments on synthetic, benchmark, and large-scale regression tasks show that residual DGP improves over plain DGP, while CDGP and FlowDGP provide a stronger overall story across the regimes we study.